Beta test links

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Hello,

The software is not fully completed, but we are releasing it into beta to find out more bugs.  http://myspace.com/socialholdem is the link to it.  You might have to log in two or more clients if nobody is currently online, which will probably be the case early on.  Bots will be coming soon, so initial users will have somebody(thing) to play with.  :)

Please email any bugs to bugs@outrunpoker.com

 

Thank you,

The Outrunpoker.com Team

Hello everybody,

We have been working hard on the new poker software, and it is now fully functional.  Stay tuned, and we will post up a link to beta invites. 

-Zak

The most important lesson I learned when I had my first business in college was that advertising can be viewed as one entire stream of income, from the very beginning of interacting with a customer to an actual sale.  When somebody sells ads on a site, or otherwise generates traffic, really what they are doing is making money so somebody else can make more money later on down the line in the sales channel. 

Even though I did very well selling mortgage leads, somebody at the end was making a lot more money than I was per lead.  They were making several thousand dollars for each loan closed, and could close a good percentage of them because my leads were fresh and unique.   Before my business failed due to petty legal reasons, I changed my major in college to Real Estate and signed up for mortgage classes so that I too could start closing loans on my own.  Had I been successful with my plan, I could not only generate tons of leads, but also maximize the money I make off of them by actually closing loans myself.  In essence, I would have been pushing myself out over more of the industry.  The middle man would replace the end guy, and in turn, capture the entire revenue stream.

How does this affect social networks?  After a volume of reading, it is aparrent that most, if not all of them are having trouble with monetization.  Bebo recently sold, and according to recent blog post from Markus Frind of plentyoffish, only is getting 14 cents/CPM.  This is extremely low.  Facebook/Orkut/myspace probably are not much higher. 

Sites like facebook are trying to use new "social ads" to up CPM, basically showing you stuff that you are supposed to like based on words in your profile or what your friends supposedly like.  They have some other good ideas like automatically parsing in their own affiliate link when you put in a link to another web site that sells stuff in a message to your friends.  However, these strategies will never put the CPM of an SN site anywhere near that of google's, where people actually go to buy stuff instead of wasting time messaging/poking their friends. 

How else is there for them to increase CPM?  The main idea, relating to my earlier thought, would be to attempt to replace the end buyer of the advertising space on as many industries as possible.  Of course, this can't be done with consumer goods or movies or stuff like that, because the barrier of entry and competition is just too high.  However, there are plenty of industries out there, that advertise on social networking sites regularly, that could be subverted.  The first things coming to mind are dating sites, adult sites (softcore), online gambling sites (me :)), credit repair, mortgage lending (brokering), "make money from home" crap, "free i-pod" scams, auto insurance, short term pay day loans, and more.  About half the ads you see on those sites, the people at the end of the ad are making more money in the long term than they are spending on advertising.  They have to be, otherwise they wouldn't be able to continue to buy the ad space month after month, year after year.  Alot of these businesses are certainly not impossible to start.

When you call a bluff, the tables turn. 

When I was selling mortgage leads to mortgage brokers, I thought the lending process was dark and mysterious.  I thought they actually had all the money up front that they were lending.  Once I went to real estate school, I learned the process was very simple, and most of the mortgage brokers were nothing more than sales people.  I was doing the greatest part of their job for them, getting business in the door. 

Knowing that there are business out there making more than they are spending on advertising on social networking sites, it is possible for SN sites to, as a long term strategy, own an interest in these types of companies, or invest in the early stages of promising ones.  They could help them to grow with the traffic, which in the long term could yield much higher CPM because the entire income stream is flowing into them at that point.  

Finding and/or creating/funding such companies would be an entire business in and of itself.  It would certainly not be easy or automatic, but stands a much greater chance of attaining high CPM in the long term than any "social ads" ever could.   

I have been doing a lot of research lately, regarding subscription based service versus real money sites, in particular, poker sites.  Basically, a subscription based service charges users a monthly fee and in return they get to compete in daily free roll tournaments to win real money.  A pay money site, on the other hand, lets users deposit money and then gamble with that money.  There are advantages and disadvantages to both approaches, which I will describe here.

A subscription based service is limited to a monthly amount, lets say 20$ a month, and can make no more money off of each user beyond that.  A pay site doesn't have such limit, and would supposedly make a lot more.  There are a lot of gambling addicts out there that can spend a considerable amount each month.  However, after more research, I find this might not be the case.  

Pay sites average about $120 net gaming revenue each quarter, from poker players (published financial statements of leading gaming providers).  A subscription based site charging $20 a month would only get $60 dollars in comparison, which is half that amount.  However, the advantage of a subscription based site comes to light when you consider member conversion and retention.

For a subscription based site to make the same amount of income, they would have to convert traffic at least 101% more than a pay site.  This is certainly possible, because it is a lot easier to sell a monthly subscription than it is to get people to start playing for real money, especially new players.  Also, a subscription based service has the chance for more retention, because a monthly subscription can go on for a long time before the user actually cancels.  Many users never cancel.  On a pay site, the players don't get their deposit bonuses after their first deposit, and many will go to other sites instead of reloading their account at their current site.  The players don't have to worry about losing all of their money on a subscription site, and thus their loss is limited to the monthly fee they pay to use the software.  A subscription site also does not have to pay out first deposit bonuses, which helps the bottom line a great deal.  

Downsides to subscription based sites include not being able to cross sell to sports and casino sites, which tend to gross over $450 per real money player.  On the other hand, subscription sites are able to have an easier time taking US players because subscription sites are legal;  people are paying to use an upgraded version of the software, and not actually placing any wagers.  This is a tremendous advantage not just over pay sites that don't accept US players, but also over pay sites that do, because it is still a hassle for US players to both deposit and withdraw their money from these sites.  Many pay sites require users to use money orders and wait several days before getting any of their money in or out.  A subscription based service is also a great alternative for current and old US gambling sites to be able to get market share while waiting for laws to change to their favor, which could take years.